How IOT Broke My Internet and Ubiquiti Saved the Day

May 22, 2025: Wireless smart home (Internet of Things, IOT) devices are proliferating and getting smarter and more helpful every day.  As a bleeding edge technology fan, I love them because they let me see what’s happening in my house even when I am not around, help me easily manage things, and generally just make my life easier.  But these devices aren’t just sitting around like loners, keeping their heads down and quietly doing their thing—the busybodies that they are, they are constantly chatting away, connecting with each other and with me, trying their best to keep my home running smoothly.

There are many wireless technologies that IOT devices use to talk: WiFi (both 2.4GHz and 5GHz), Bluetooth, Zigbee, Z-Wave, Thread, RFID, Infrared, and more. But WiFi 2.4GHz presently seems to rule the world. It is cheap, works with practically every router on the market, and sends signals through walls pretty well. But the hidden “gotcha”—most routers, like the consumer-grade Netgear Nighthawk I was using, top out at around 30 to 50 devices. That number sounds ginormous, after all who could possibly have that many smart devices in their home?  Yet I recently found out just how quickly that limit sneaks up on you.

In the past month, I swapped out about 30 regular light switches in my home for Amazon Basics Smart Switches (https://amzn.to/4kAl6lm) so I can control them anywhere, program them to turn off at certain times or after being on for, say 30 minutes (think bathroom lights constantly left on).  On top of that, I replaced my 8 standard GFCI outlets with Leviton Smart GFCIs (https://amzn.to/4kAl6lm).  The smart GFCIs are awesome—they send me a notification on my phone if one trips, pinpointing exactly which outlet went down.  No more wandering around trying to guess if the circuit breaker or GFCI outlet is the culprit, and where the GFCI associated with an outlet might be.  I also got 6 Govee Circular Ceiling Lights (https://amzn.to/4kAl6lm) and 3 Govee Square Ceiling Lights (https://amzn.to/4kAl6lm).  These lights are fantastic–2,400 lumens of brightness and adjusting their color temperature is ridiculously easy.

Before I knew it, I was right up against that dreaded 50-device ceiling. And that’s without even counting my 4 smart TVs, 4 Amazon Echoes, 3 security cameras, a smart garage door opener, and other random devices scattered all over my house. Sure enough, when I started setting up the new switches, things got messy—devices refused to connect, even though I had a strong WiFi signal.  And some of my devices that I had already set up began exhibiting sporadic connection issues.  My eagerness to adopt new technologies had broken my internet.

Up until now, my Nighthawk router had done a good job.  But clearly, it was overwhelmed.  After doing some research I went for a Ubiquiti system.  Not cheap—the final total came out to a rather spooky $666.88—but worth every penny.  This setup offers incredible flexibility, handling hundreds of devices without batting an eyelash.

Device Quantity Unit Cost Total Cost
    Ubiquiti Cloud Gateway Fiber 1 $279.00 $279.00
    Ubiquiti U7 Long-Range Access Point 2 $159.00 $318.00
Subtotal $597.00
    Shipping $ 15.40
    Tax $ 54.48
Total $666.88

This is spendier than your average setup, but it works great!  Setup was a breeze.  The access points connect to the gateway through ethernet cables and since they are powered over the same cables (POE) that was the only connection that needed to be made.  Once connected the gateway instantly recognized them.  The UniFi app made it easy to set up a dedicated WiFi 2.4ghz network for my IOT devices and a separate fast WiFi network for my family to use.  It handles tons of connections easily, offers intuitive setup for multiple WiFi networks, and even lets me monitor things remotely.  Plus, it integrates smoothly with security cameras (though those cameras can definitely push the budget), and the whole setup is super reliable—way better than what you typically get at consumer-level prices. Given that my wife works full-time from home, rock-solid WiFi isn’t just nice—it’s essential.  So for us, it’s totally justified.

Finally, a quick heads-up: Amazon sends me a small referral fee if you buy through my links.  But if you’d prefer Amazon keep that money, just use the product names provided here and search directly on their site.

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Beliefs and Values

I am constantly called deranged by members of my family and even some friends. When I ask why they feel that way, they say it’s because of my beliefs and a severe case of TDS (Trump Derangement Syndrome, though I think it’s Trump Delusion Syndrome—potato, potahto). When I ask what beliefs they think I have, they don’t give a clear answer. Instead, they claim that because I don’t agree with the current administration’s policies and believe the current president is bad for the country, I must be brainwashed by the liberal echo chamber of where I live and the news I consume.

For the record, I expose myself to a wide range of news sources, from Fox News to CNN, WSJ, Politico, Axios, Bloomberg News, The Washington Post, and The New York Times, among others. Next week, I’m taking a break from it all.

While I acknowledge that liberals don’t have all the answers and have implemented their share of flawed policies, and that Republicans (conservatives) have contributed some valuable ideas, I believe that the current Republican approach is not making our country great. It’s important to recognize the merits and shortcomings of both sides, but the direction taken by Republicans today seems to be leading us away from the values and progress that truly benefit our nation.

To clear up any ambiguity, let me put some thoughts in writing. I would be interested in discussing any of these with you. I miss the days when the USA was a pluralist society where ideas could be discussed and then we could move on. I hope we can return to those days, but I don’t think it will happen anytime soon.

To start, I don’t believe we should be rounding up suspected undocumented immigrants and sending them to torture prisons (and paying $6 million to do so) without any due process. Remember, I said due process! If they are guilty take them back to their country and drop them off. Don’t take them to a torture prison. You will see more about my views on the border and immigration below. Contrary to others, I don’t believe the president should be able to point his finger at an individual (or group) and make them disappear. I also don’t believe we should have to carry papers to prove we have a right to be in this country. This isn’t Russia, is it? I know this plays well in MAGA land, but it will lead us down a dark road.

Note: The current uproar regarding Kilmar Abrego Garcia might not be the best case but maybe it is. This person is certainly not a model citizen but he did have a court order protecting him from deportation. He was never given a hearing. Why didn’t a court a law get a chance to view the evidence and render a decision? Why is the government trying so hard and spending so much money to defend its actions?

The actions taken by the US government against universities like Harvard have significant implications for academic freedom, research, and the overall integrity of higher education – and our society. Here are some key reasons why these actions should be reconsidered:

1. Universities must maintain their independence to foster an environment where diverse ideas and research can thrive. Government interference, such as demanding changes to governance or hiring practices, undermines this independence[1][2].


2. The freezing of billions in funding can halt critical research projects, including life-saving medical research[2]. This not only affects the university but also has broader implications for public health and scientific advancement. It also needlessly causing chaos for hundreds of faculty and students.


3. The government is exceeding its lawful authority and infringing on university’s constitutional rights, such as the First Amendment[1][2]. Upholding these rights is essential for the integrity of educational institutions and the country.


4. Threatening to revoke tax-exempt status or the ability to enroll foreign students will diminish the quality and diversity of education offered[3][4]. This can have long-term negative effects on a university’s ability to attract top talent and provide a comprehensive education.


5. If you feel that government funding research at universities, studies have shown that government funded projects have build the economic powerhouse that the United States is today[5] [6]. Many products, medicines, and technology that we take for granted today are because of government funding studies and project that are beyond the capabilities of corporations, foundations and private donors to take on. Such projects include:



We’ll just start with the Internet: The internet, a foundational technology, emerged from government-funded research at universities and military labs. This has been the greatest economic growth the US has seen since the industrial age. I’m not saying it has brought it’s own set of issues but …



• Microchips: The development of microchips, crucial for modern electronics, was significantly influenced by government funding. 

• Doppler Radar: This weather forecasting tool was a direct result of funding from the National Science Foundation (NSF). 

• MRIs: Magnetic Resonance Imaging technology, used in medical diagnostics, was also a product of government-funded research. 

• Flu Shot: The development of the flu shot, a crucial preventative medicine, benefited from government research funding. 

• Advanced Manufacturing: Government agencies like NSF have supported breakthroughs in advanced manufacturing techniques, including nanomaterials, CAD, and 3D printing. 

• Nanomaterials: NSF has funded research into nanomaterials, opening doors to new materials and processes. 

• Computer-Aided Design (CAD): NSF funding has also contributed to the development of CAD systems, which have revolutionized product design and manufacturing. 

• 3D Printing: NSF-funded research has also played a role in advancements in 3D printing. 

• Economic Growth: Government funding for research has significantly contributed to economic growth by creating jobs, increasing GDP, and driving innovation. 

• Job Creation: University-based research, especially when licensed to companies, has led to the creation of numerous jobs. 

• Increased GDP: The economic impact of university research has been substantial, with estimated GDP increases and increased industry output. 

• Spin-out Companies: University research has also led to the formation of new companies, creating further economic opportunities. 

• Modern Tires: Government research, specifically from the National Science Foundation, has led to advancements in tire technology, such as the development of modern Goodyear tires. 

• Wind Energy: Government-funded research has also played a role in the development of modern wind energy technology. 

• Biopharmaceutical Manufacturing: NSF funding has enabled the development of training programs and institutes for biopharmaceutical manufacturing. 

• Manufacturing USA Network: The Manufacturing USA network, supported by government funding, has fostered innovation in manufacturing. 

References
[1] Harvard won’t comply with demands from Trump administration
[2] Trump admin freezes billions in funding to Harvard University after …
[3] Harvard Sees ‘Grave Consequences’ as Trump Pushes IRS Action
[4] Will Harvard University stop admitting foreign students?
[5] 22 Examples of Major Technology Advances That Stem From Federal Research Support
[6] Federal R&D funding: the bedrock of national innovation (report)

This is just the tip of the iceberg. There are so many attacks occurring on our society and institutions. Including:

The administration seeking court backing to control who can access the White House for press events. This includes restricting Associated Press journalists and other wire services from attending certain events. Journalists and their outlets directly threatened or barred from attending official events. This includes barring the Associated Press from attending events after it refused to comply with certain demands (really petty to punish them for still calling the Gulf of Mexico the Gulf of Mexico). New policies that sharply curtail access to President Trump by news agencies have been implemented. These policies give the press secretary significant discretion over which reporters can ask questions and attend events.

Freedom of the press is a cornerstone of democracy, ensuring that journalists can report on government actions without fear of censorship or retaliation. Restrictions on press access and reporting can undermine transparency and accountability in government

Denying security clearances to law firms because of cases they have taken on – especially if they are against the current government. This will hinder their ability to defend government employees or people suing the government effectively. This practice can be seen as a way to exert control over legal proceedings and limit the defense options available to individuals facing government scrutiny.

I’m not even going to go into the economic disaster that has been going on for the last few weeks. No one person has destroyed so much wealth in so short a time. The toll that it has taken on our country (especially small businesses) shows that the US is willing to destroy the decades of work that has been done to build a strong and prosperous economy with strong allies.

This list could go on and on. Everyday there’s another executive order, policy, law or statement that chips away at the foundations of what has made this country great. Yes our country is and has always been great. We don’t need to make it great again. We need to fix what needs fixing to keep it great.

As always I am will to discuss these matters with anyone. Just to be clear, although I believe the United States is heading in the wrong direction, I don’t think it’s solely due to the Republican Party. However, they are currently contributing significantly to the issues we’re facing.

For clarity, let me give a sprinkling of my beliefs (Spoiler alert: not every liberal is the same, though the majority of liberals (and a lot of conservatives) I know think along roughly these same lines:). Full disclosure, I’m using a lot of an essay that I read a while ago. While a lot of people credit this to Ron Howard, apparently the actual author was Lori Gallagher Witt. Thanks for the great essay.

  1. I believe that the USA should take care of its weakest members. A country cannot call itself civilized when its children, disabled, sick, and elderly are neglected. PERIOD. If you feel social security, Medicare, Medicaid, SNAP, CHIP or whatever is broken – fix it! Don’t crap all over it and constantly try to kill it.
  2. Healthcare is a right, not a privilege. Somehow that’s interpreted as “I believe Obamacare is the end-all, be-all.” This is not the case. I’m fully aware that the ACA has problems, that a national healthcare system would require everyone to chip in, and that it’s impossible to create one that is devoid of flaws, but I have yet to hear an argument against it that makes “let people die because they can’t afford healthcare” a better alternative. I believe healthcare should be far cheaper than it is, and that everyone should have access to it. And no, I’m not opposed to paying higher taxes in the name of making that happen.
  3. I believe education should be affordable. It doesn’t necessarily have to be free (though it works in other countries, I continue to be mystified as to why it can’t work in the US), but at the end of the day, there is no excuse for students graduating college saddled with five- or six-figure debt.
  4. I don’t believe your money should be taken from you and given to people who don’t want to work. I have literally never encountered anyone who believes this. Ever. I just have a massive moral problem with a society where a handful of people can possess the majority of the wealth while there are people literally starving to death, freezing to death, or dying because they can’t afford to go to the doctor. Fair wages, lower housing costs, universal healthcare, affordable education, and the wealthy actually paying their share would go a long way toward alleviating this. Somehow believing that makes me a communist.
  5. I don’t throw around “I’m willing to pay higher taxes” lightly. If I’m suggesting something that involves paying more, well, it’s because I’m fine with paying my share as long as it’s actually going to improve our country.

The government has economies of scale that allow it to fund roads, weapons, programs, research, etc. that might be impractical for individual corporations or institutes to take on. This is because the government can pool resources across various agencies and departments, enabling it to undertake projects with large upfront costs or those that may not have immediate, direct commercial applications.

I do insist that these roads, weapons, programs, research, etc. get funded and built and that there is transparency and accountability for all these. We have the ability to do this with the technology we have today.

  1. I believe companies should be required to pay their employees a decent, livable wage. Somehow this is always interpreted as me wanting burger flippers to be able to afford a penthouse apartment and a Mercedes. What it actually means is that no one should have to work three full-time jobs just to keep their head above water. Restaurant servers should not have to rely on tips, multibillion-dollar companies should not have employees on food stamps, college professors shouldn’t be sleeping in their cars, workers shouldn’t have to work themselves into the ground just to barely make ends meet, and minimum wage should be enough for someone to work 40 hours and live.
  2. I am a Christian. I have no desire to stop Christians from being Christians, to close churches, to ban the Bible, to forbid prayer in school, etc. (BTW, prayer in school is NOT illegal; compulsory prayer in school is – and should be – illegal). All I ask is that Christians recognize the right of other religions to live according to their beliefs. When I see laws trying to legislate Scripture into law, I’m offended that we’re ignoring the first ammendment and trying to force others to live by Christian rules. You know how you get really upset at the thought of Muslims imposing Sharia law on you? That’s how others feel about Christians trying to impose biblical law on them. Be a Christian. Do your thing. Just don’t force it on others.
  3. I don’t believe LGBT people should have more rights than you. I just believe they should have the same rights as you.
  4. I don’t believe illegal immigrants should come to America and have the world at their feet, especially since THIS ISN’T WHAT THEY DO (spoiler: undocumented immigrants are ineligible for all those programs they’re supposed to be abusing, and if they’re “stealing” someones job it’s because that employer is hiring illegally). I believe there are far more humane ways to handle undocumented immigration than our current practices (i.e., detaining children, splitting up families, ending DACA, etc).

There was legislation introduced in the last administration to make our immigration system better. While it may not have been perfect, it was a good start. Unfortunately it was killed in favor of rounding up suspected undocumented immigrants and sending them to a torture prison.

While there are a few advocates for open boarders (there will always be some – and they make some good arguments), I and the majority of the people I know advocate for strong border controls.

  1. I don’t believe the government should regulate everything, but since greed is such a driving force in our country, we NEED regulations to prevent cut corners, environmental destruction, tainted food/water, unsafe materials or technology in consumable goods, medical equipment, Tesla cars, Boeing 737 MAX jets, etc. It’s not that I want the government’s hands in everything — I just don’t trust people trying to make money to ensure that their products/practices/etc. are actually SAFE. Is the government devoid of shadiness? Of course not. But with those regulations in place, consumers have recourse if they’re harmed and companies are liable for medical bills, environmental cleanup, etc. Just kind of seems like common sense when the alternative to government regulation is letting companies bring their bottom line into the equation.
  2. I believe our current administration is heading towards fascism. Before you get all worked up about this, read the definition of facism. I do not say this lightly and it’s not because I dislike republicans, MAGAs, etc. or because I can’t get over an election, but because I’ve spent too many years reading, watching and learning about the Third Reich and other dictatorships to miss the similarities.
  3. I believe the systemic racism and misogyny in our society is much worse than many people think, and desperately needs to be addressed. Which means those with privilege — white, straight, male, economic, etc. — need to start listening, even if you don’t like what you’re hearing, so we can start dismantling everything that’s causing people to be marginalized.
  4. I am not interested in coming after your blessed guns, nor are most liberals or anyone serving in government. What I am interested in is the enforcement of present laws and enacting new, common sense gun regulations. Short and sweet.
  5. I believe in so-called political correctness. I prefer to think it’s social politeness. If I call you Chuck and you say you prefer to be called Charles I’ll call you Charles. It’s the polite thing to do. Not because everyone is a delicate snowflake, but because as Maya Angelou put it, when we know better, we do better. When someone tells you that a term or phrase is more accurate/less hurtful than the one you’re using, you now know better. So why not do better? How does it hurt you to NOT hurt another person?
  6. I believe in funding sustainable energy, including offering education to people currently working in coal or oil so they can change jobs. There are too many sustainable options available for us to continue with coal and oil. I do not advocate that it we stop using fossil fuels cold turkey but we should do everything in our power to wind down its usage.
  7. I believe that women should not be treated as a separate class of human. They should be paid the same as men who do the same work, should have the same rights as men and should be free from abuse. Why on earth shouldn’t they be?

17 Believing in climate change is crucial because overwhelming scientific evidence shows that human activities, such as burning fossil fuels and deforestation, are causing global temperatures to rise. This leads to severe consequences like extreme weather events, rising sea levels, and loss of biodiversity. Addressing climate change is essential to protect our planet, ensure sustainable development, and safeguard future generations. Ignoring it risks irreversible damage to our environment and the health of our communities. Even though you may not believe in it, your insurance company sure does.

Lastly, government is meant to be deliberative, effective, justified, and sustainable in its actions and decisions. To accomplish this, the government is governed by legislation and regulations. Legislation and regulations are not necessarily designed for efficiency, but are a result of compromise, interested party inputs, adequacy of funding for execution, and citizen requirements. All three branches need to do their job to ensure that our government is representative.

I think that about covers it. Bottom line is that I’m believe in liberal values because I think we should take care of each other. This doesn’t mean you should work 80 hours a week so your lazy neighbor can get all your money. It just means I don’t believe there is any scenario in which preventable suffering is an acceptable outcome as long as money is saved.

Lastly, treat you neighbor as you would want to be treated and some wisdom (some call it the 11th commandment) from Eddie Vedder of Pearl Jam, “There is only one commandment – don’t be an asshole.”

If this makes me deranged, I’ll still sleep well at night

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Leviton Smart GFCI — Finally!

Ground-Fault Circuit Interrupters, aka GFCIs, are usually found in outlets in our homes.  In fact, the National Electrical Code which, in one form or another, has been adopted in all 50 states, requires GFCI outlets.  They provide a measure of safety against electrocution by examining the flow of electricity through the outlet and, when an unexpected “imbalance” occurs, such as when electricity is flowing through a person, it trips and shuts off the flow of electricity.  This is particularly important in areas where people, water, and electricity may come into contact, such as in bathrooms, the kitchen, or outside of the home.  In the home, it is common for outlets to be wired in series—for one outlet to be wired to another and another and so on.  A GFCI outlet will provide GFCI protection for any other outlet wired through that outlet.  This is great because it means you don’t need a GFCI outlet for every outlet in your home and GFCI outlets because of the added circuitry needed, are much more expensive than regular outlets.  The flip side of this is that when it trips, all outlets wired through the GFCI outlet will lose power and if you are using a device through one of the downstream outlets it can be a challenge to determine which GFCI outlet tripped causing your power problem.  Until now.

Enter the Leviton Smart GFCI.  It is a GFCI outlet that includes WiFi, allowing it to communicate with the My Leviton app when the GFCI is triggered.  This way, if a GFCI tripped, you can get a notification on your phone that it tripped, and exactly which outlet tripped and, in addition, the outlet itself will beep.  For me this has been a food-saving lifesaver as I have it in my garage and when, for whatever unexpected reason it trips, I get message on my phone and hear a beeping when I walk in the garage.  Before we had this, we had lost food because our garage GFCI had tripped a couple of days prior to our finding out and our food had gone bad.

There is another solution to this problem and that is to use a GFCI circuit breaker.  This is a much more expensive to purchase and expensive to install option.

I highly recommend this outlet when upgrading/installing new, not just for the peace of mind of knowing when your GFCIs have tripped but also for the time- and frustration-saving convenience of knowing exactly which GFCI has tripped.  It costs only around $20 more than a “dumb” GFCI (https://a.co/d/6Ba2Gj8) and when you replace your GFCI and, since GFCIs often need replacing every 10 to 20 years, unless your home is new, you may be replacing your GFCIs in the next few years.  Save yourself future headaches and use Leviton’s Smart GFCI outlet.

I did not discuss Arc-Fault Circuit Interrupters, AFCIs, which are used to help prevent electrical fires caused by electrical arcing. Nor did I mention combination GFCI/AFCI outlets which perform the functions of both because this is a topic for another day, and, in part, because neither Leviton, nor any other manufacturer presently makes a smart GFCI/AFCI combination outlet.  (Leviton, this is a hint that there is an enormous market that is yours for the taking.)

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Will 2025 Be the Year of the AI Agent?

For many years there has been talk of the proverbial AI personal assistant that will act as a force multiplier in what we do, allowing us to be more productive and giving us more free time to do all of the wonderful things we want to do, such as playing computer games, texting or socializing on social media, and watching lots of videos that we won’t remember the following day.

Enter the artificial intelligence agents.  These are systems that are designed to do things for us, making decisions similar to those we might make.  AI agents can learn and adapt and once properly trained, they can perform many of the same tasks that would have previously required a human.  By virtue of their ginormous memory and phenomenal processing speed, these AI agents may actually perform certain tasks better than the human they are performing them for could.  Repetitive tasks are well suited to being performed by an AI agent—think junior employee, green but smart, who can be trained to do some of the boring repetitive work you do.  Now imagine everyone in the world had such an employee and you can see the potential of AI agents.

As technology advances and becomes every more integrated in our lives, the complexity of what we need to know to continues to increase.  AI agents may be the panacea that will give us a fighting chance at regaining control of our technology.  From the basic tasks of sifting through spam email and phone calls to calendar management to controlling our plethora of incompatible smart devices in our homes, to dealing with customer service issues for products or services we purchased or even ordering food for us, these AI agents could have a dramatic impact on our productivity and stress reduction.

Since ChatGPT burst into the public consciousness at the end of 2022, AI developments have come fast and furious.  And yet, as useful as ChatGPT, Alexa, Google Assistant, Gemini, and the ilk are, using them feels very much like you are operating manual transmission car—inefficient and a bit clunky with a lot of manual intervention required.  AI agents have to potential to turn that car into an automatic that blends performance (getting exactly what you want done) with efficiency (requiring less of your time).  As they grow more sophisticated and learn more about you and what you want done, they anticipate what you want and get it done before you even ask.

In the past couple of years we have seen the release of numerous large language model AIs such as ChatGPT and Gemini.  Ais now have the ability to respond in text or to create pictures or video.  They can also increasingly accept pictures or video as input and are able to communicate with a very human-like voice.  It is not a stretch to predict that we will see an increasing integration of all of these capabilities with the ability to take control of your computer and your phone, doing things that only you could do in the past.  As with other agents, AI agents will be working on our behalf and how they perform will reflect, for better or worse, on how we are perceived, so it will be important to make sure we are clear in our instructions to our AI agents before setting them out to do our bidding.

The year 2025 will be known for many things, and I believe one of them will be the beginning of the mainstreaming of AI agents.

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AI — Astonishing and Incomprehensibly Frightening

I have just returned from 2024 CES in Las Vegas and am contemplating this new age of AI that we have entered where cars, dishwashers, sleep monitoring devices, cooking grills, and even pet collars boast about their imbedded AI capabilities.  Many people have the opinion that AI is nothing more than some fancy programming meshing statistical correlations with output that outwardly seems to make some sense but, in reality, has little intelligence, no self awareness, and no understanding of what it is doing.

I believe that these people are anthropomorphizing AI and discounting it because it does not operate like a human being.  AI may not understand the color blue or appreciate music or see the beauty in a rainbow in the same way human beings do, but that does not mean that it “understands” these things any less than we do.  In fact, one measure of whether a human being or an AI understands something is how well he/she/they/it can describe that thing fits into our society/universe and predict its future.  An AI that sees a rainbow and can correctly determine how humans will view that rainbow and what will happen to that rainbow in the future (dissipation/movement of airborne water droplets, movement of lighting sources, perception from various locations) can be said to have a greater understanding of that rainbow than human beings despite not having to catch its breath in wonder upon seeing a spectacular rainbow.

Should we care whether AI is truly intelligent or just merely a good imitation of intelligence?  I believe we should because if we take the latter dismissive attitude towards AI we are less likely to take seriously the risks that AI presents for ourselves and for society as a whole.

AI is going to change our world in dramatic ways.  Yes, it has the potential for wiping out all human life, but even if you believe that to be an extremist and unrealistic view held by conspiracy theorists and idiots, AI is going to be a force that we need to reckon with from now on.  Initially, AI is going to present lots of really interesting and exciting products and services. Consider this list, courtesy of Chat GPT:

  • Autonomous Vehicles: Improved safety and reduced traffic accidents.
  • AI in Healthcare: Enhanced diagnosis and personalized medicine.
  • Smart Cities: Efficient energy use and improved urban planning.
  • Robotics in Manufacturing: Increased efficiency and lower production costs.
  • AI in Education: Personalized learning experiences and accessibility.
  • Financial Services Automation: Better fraud detection and financial advice.
  • Smart Home Devices: Improved home efficiency and security.
  • Language Translation Services: Easier cross-cultural communication.
  • Retail Personalization: Enhanced shopping experiences.
  • AI in Agriculture: Increased crop yields and sustainable practices.
  • Environmental Monitoring: Better climate change prediction and resource management.
  • Personal Assistants: Improved daily productivity and organization.
  • AI in Entertainment: Personalized content and new forms of media.
  • Telemedicine: Expanded healthcare access.
  • Supply Chain Optimization: Efficient logistics and inventory management.
  • Elderly Care Robotics: Improved quality of life for seniors.
  • Energy Management: Optimized use of renewable resources.
  • Predictive Maintenance in Industry: Reduced downtime and maintenance costs.
  • AI in Law Enforcement: Improved public safety and crime prevention.
  • AI-Enhanced Sex Robots: Potential improvements in sexual health and therapy.

Yet not all that glitters is gold. Chat GPT provides this list of potential trojan horses:

  • Job Displacement: Loss of jobs to automation.
  • Privacy Erosion: Increased surveillance eroding privacy.
  • Bias Amplification: AI perpetuating societal biases.
  • Security Vulnerabilities: Risks of AI system hacking.
  • Dependency on Technology: Over-reliance on AI.
  • Ethical Dilemmas: AI in sensitive decision-making.
  • Social Isolation: Reduced human interactions.
  • AI in Warfare: Use of AI in weaponry.
  • Economic Inequality: Widening economic disparities.
  • Unpredictable AI Behavior: AI acting unexpectedly.
  • Devaluation of Human Creativity: AI overshadowing human creativity.
  • Environmental Impact: AI’s ecological footprint.
  • Manipulation and Propaganda: AI in spreading misinformation.
  • Healthcare Risks: Over-dependence on AI in health.
  • Educational Disruption: AI impacting learning diversity.
  • Erosion of Human Judgment: Trust issues in human decision-making.
  • Cultural Homogenization: Loss of diverse cultural expressions.
  • Misaligned AI Goals: AI developed with unsuitable objectives.
  • Control and Autonomy Issues: Concerns over AI control.
  • Armed Conflict Potential: Including civil unrest and revolutions due to socio-economic impacts of AI.

Another way to look at AI is that it commoditizes intelligence.  When I was young, I thought of myself as being smarter than average–I think most of us believe we are smarter than average!?  Yet, there were always a number of people that were so much smarter than me that I felt stupid around them.  As AI advances and becomes increasingly prevalent in our home and society, it seems reasonably likely that this attitude–that we are intellectual invalids in an increasingly complex society–will proliferate.  We will increasingly rely upon AI to tell us how and what to do. How will this affect our psyche I don’t know, but I don’t think it will be good.

As we enjoy the benefits of AI, it is important to understand that it comes with a cost and the potential to cause great harm. The next time you use an AI tool or game or service or product that helps you in your job, brings joy to your day or just makes your life easier, please consider at what cost it comes.

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A Minority Opinion on Chase Center “Memberships” for Warriors Season Ticket Holders

chase centerToday, I am straying from the tech-focused theme of this blog to discuss Chase Center, the future arena of the Golden State Warriors, a team that I have followed since I was young and the “home” NBA team of Silicon Valley!

The Golden State Warriors have been a thing a beauty to behold these past few years.  As a parent, trying to teach children how to behave, it is a joy to be able to hold up the Warriors superstars as prime examples of how working as a team, placing the needs of the team above individual egos, leads to success.

After having watched the Warriors flounder since I attended Berkeley in the late 70s, I had given up hope of ever seeing them become a really good, much less a historically dominant, NBA team, just as I had (and still have) given up hope of ever seeing Cal in the Rose Bowl.  When Peter Gruber and Joe Lacob purchased the team in 2010, there was no apparent reason to suspect that Warriors would become the juggernaut they are today.

Many point to the smart (and lucky) drafting by Golden State as the secret sauce of their success.  I think that, other than a sprinkling of good fortune, the real secret to Golden State’s success is smart management–and I mean management, not coaching!  Management at the top sets the tone for an organization.  What Gruber and Lacob put into place was a philosophy that focused on building a successful team of off-court personnel, recruiting highly skilled people, giving them the latitude to provide input into how to best shape the on-court team.  This promoted building a team comprised of players who are super skilled and highly team-oriented from the top down with the end-result being a team that many believe to be among the best of all time.

Success comes at a price and one crude measure for the team’s success is the skyrocketing price of tickets.  In 2014-15 the cheapest season ticket seat price was $18 per game while courtside was $450 per game.  In 2018-19 the cheapest season ticket price is $69 per game (a 283% increase) and courtside $905 per game (a 101% increase.)  Despite the increase in prices, the Warriors still have a season-pass waiting list that numbers over 40,000.  With the demand for Warriors tickets at an all-time high, the management group had the confidence to take the leap and to build a completely self-financed new arena in San Francisco, the Chase Center.  It will open for the 2019-20 season and will cost more than one billion dollars to build.

The Warriors are the first team to offer memberships, similar to PSLs (Personal Seat Licenses) to season ticket holders, in which season ticket holders will pay a per-seat price, that varies depending upon the location of the seat in the arena.  This membership will provide the owner the right (and obligation) to purchase seasons tickets for that seat.  In a brilliant marketing move, the Warriors have announced that they will be the first team ever to pay back these per seat membership fees, but only after 30 years and with no interest.

This, in and of itself, does not sound too bad–a worst case of receiving back the entire principal on a 30-year interest-free loan!  At the historical long-term average for inflation (about 3.2%), members will still receive a net present value of about $0.39 for each $1.00 paid.  However, as a result of our unsustainable national debt and my confidence that the US will never default on its debt, I believe that we will manage our debt through inflation–devaluing the debt so it may be paid back with cheaper dollars.  As such, it would not surprise me to see average inflation of 6% over the course of the next 30 years, bringing the net present value of $1.00 30 years from to down to a net present value of $0.17–not a particularly heartening decline.

Yet, the biggest “gotcha” is a condition that a membership owner cannot sell their membership for more than the price they paid for it.  The Warriors say that they learned from the 49ers who sold PSLs at Levi Stadium in Santa Clara that quickly dropped precipitously in value and this scheme will provide that you get all of your money back, though after 30 years.  This is disingenuous at best and, in a less gracious light, could be considered taking advantage of people who are not very good at working with numbers.  If the membership prices drop precipitously then members who need to sell would still suffer a dramatic loss until they are made “whole” 30 years later, at which point, if they are still alive, they would still have suffered a dramatic loss due to inflation savaging whatever monies are returned to them.

If memberships merely keep pace with inflation, then members, as a result of not being able to sell the memberships for more than they paid for them, are losing out on any gain in value of the memberships–with that gain in value being realized either by the owners of the team of the new buyers of that member’s seats.  It is a bad deal, but if you want to continue to be a Warriors season ticket holder, you don’t have any other options.  Because it, at first blush, sounds good for season ticket holders, but is ultimately a really bad deal, I think it is an absolutely brilliant marketing move.

For those that have not been dissuaded from purchasing a membership, I will provide some exemplar membership seat prices and game prices.  Please note that per game prices, after increasing approximately 10% to 20% from 2018-19 to 2019-20 (more like 30% to 60% when factoring in the discounts that long-time season ticket holders receive), will “only” increase by a maximum of 7 percent per year for the following four years.

Memberships can be paid for in four installments with the final installment due on October 1st 2019, or in a payment plan with 10 percent of the total amount due in four installments, again ending on October 1st 2019 and the remaining 60 percent financed at a 7.5% rate over the subsequent 8 years.  To help understand approximately how much the Warriors are charging for memberships I have compiled a list of the some of the membership prices below.  Please note, that as of this writing, most of the more expensive memberships have already sold out.

Sections Section Color Membership 2019-20 Game Prices
211-215 Dark Blue $  4,000 $  75
202, 203, 209 to 2017, 223, 224 Orange $  5,000 $  85
201-203, 209-210, 216-217, 223, 224 Pink $  6,500 $110
107-110, 112, 119, 121-124 Orange $16,000 $270
101, 106, 113, 118 Light Purple $18,000 $310
101, 102, 105, 106, 113, 114, 117, 118 Dark Green $20,000 $345
101-106, 113-118 Dark Blue $24,000 $400
9, 10, 21, 22 Yellow $42,000 $725
3, 4, 15, 16 Brown $55,000 $950

The Warriors have set up a “lite brite” board which has a hole for each seat into which a plastic peg can be inserted that is lit from behind.  When a seat membership is sold a peg is inserted into the corresponding position in the board, so you can see how many seats have been sold.  At least that is the theory.  The picture below shows how the board looked on August 23rd, but there were appreciably fewer seats available on that date than shown.  This is likely a result of the approximately 5,000 seats for which memberships will not be sold and/or simply an oversight in keeping the pegs current.

chase center light brite (updated again)

I hope this is helpful to some of you who are contemplating memberships at Chase Center!

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One Cloud To Rule Them All

cloud storage logos

By Omar Billawala

Amazon’s cloud product, Amazon Cloud Drive, has had little to distinguish it from the other major cloud storage companies.  This has changed!  Amazon has slashed its Cloud Drive pricing!  The former complex pricing structure has been reduced to two tiers, $12/year for unlimited photo storage and $60/year for unlimited everything storage.

Amazon Cloud Drive does not compete on features.  Files stored on Amazon’s service must be downloaded before they can be viewed.  Videos cannot be streamed.  Files cannot be simultaneously edited to facilitate collaboration among many people.  Synchronization between your home and the cloud is a manual, laborious process.

What Amazon does provide is phenomenal amounts of backup capability.  You can keep digital copies of everything you own which includes not just your photos, videos and documents, but also all music and movies (assuming you rip them), in one place, forever, and not worry about backing them up onto local hard drives or losing them.

At $5/month Amazon is making it difficult for anyone who has more than a terabyte of data to find a cheaper backup solution.  While it may not rule over all other cloud service companies, Amazon is certainly undermining their storage pricing.

To be sure, Amazon Cloud Drive does have some potential pitfalls–pricing could change in the future, and large amounts of data will take days/weeks to upload/download–but, for less than the cost of a single hard drive per year, Amazon is making a compelling case for you to move your backups to the cloud!

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The Scariest Thing I Saw at CES

tracking point

By Omar Billawala

2015’s Consumer Electronics Show, held in Las Vegas from January 6th to 9th was the largest ever, drawing more than 170,000 attendees and 3,600 exhibitors.  This year’s show was filled with more innovative products than ever before.  Many of the smaller companies were born on Kickstarter or Indiegogo or plan to market their products there in the near future.

Intellectually, I understand that I should be scared of the many of the directions that technology is taking us.  I should be scared of how our personal privacy is being eviscerated, how disruptive products and services are destroying industries that provide many of our country’s jobs.  I should be deeply concerned about the our moving from the Internet of Information to the Internet of Things is going to make even our homes and automobiles subject to being hacked, how smart devices are dumbing down our children.  Indeed I am worried about these things, but the scariest thing I saw at CES came from a four-year-old company called Tracking Point.

Tracking Point’s story began with John McHale.  John was a hunter and while on safari in Africa in 2009, he could not hit a target 400 yards away.  He felt that, with current technology, there must be a way for a rifle to rapidly account for the range, ballistics, stability, and other factors, involved in precision targeting over large distances.  So he, along with an engineer, John Lupher, started a company and hired top talentin imaging, tracking, mechanical engineering, electrical engineering, industrial design, software, and the firearms industry.  Then end-result of the team’s efforts is a series of rifles with astonishing capabilities.

Tracking Point’s rifles are both super cool and very frightening.  Tracking point advertises that, “Shooters of any skill level can now shoot better than the best shooters who ever lived.”

tracking point hud

To operate the rifle, you enter the estimated wind speed in increments of 0.5 mph and note whether it is coming from the right of left of the barrel.  Then you aim at the target you wish to hit and, when it is in your cross hairs, you push a red “tag” button.  Now the rifle’s software takes over and begins tracking the object.  When you are close you pull the trigger.  The gun will not fire immediately.  The display will show a red dot on the tagged target and will shift the display to show you where to aim.  You simply put the red dot in the center of the cross hairs and the rifle will fire.  It takes into account the range, wind, ballistic curves, temperature, humidity, incline, cant, coriolis effect, barrel wear, zeroing shift, and other variables related to shot accuracy.

Tracking Point’s introductory rifle sells for $7,500 and can hit a target 500 yards away and moving at 10 mph.  Its high-end rifle sells for $27,500 and can hit a target 1,300 yards away and moving at 25 mph.  At CES Tracking Point introduced a $40,000 rifle capable of hitting a target 1,800 yards away.  For sport hunting (perhaps this takes the “sport” out of it) and for military purposes these rifles seem to be fantastic tools.  One caveat is that you don’t want to be seeing the laser tag from the wrong side of the barrel.

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From CES: Wearable Dash is a Sign of Things to Come

Bragi_Dash_Explosion

By Omar Billawala

It started off as a Kickstarter project which raised a dozen times more than its initial quarter-of-a-million dollars goal.  Now, the Dash is off and running.  If not evident from the above picture, the Dash is a true wireless (no wires even connecting the right and left earpieces) in-ear headphone that is oh so much more.  It combines a laundry list of functions–high quality speaker, mp3 player, bluetooth, microphone, fitness tracker, heart-rate monitor, oxygen saturation level, waterproof–the dash can do it all.  Or, at least quite a bit, and more coming as the company has released a development toolkit so all manner of apps can be created.

The Dash includes 4GB of flash memory and so can play music independent of a bluetooth connection to a phone.  It is waterproof and can be used when swimming.  It includes a 3-axis accelerometer, a 3-axis gyroscope, and a 3-axis magnetometer–with these capabilities, if you did not want to wear it, you could use is as a sophisticated game controller!  Paired with a phone, the Dash can be a pedestrian bluetooth headset, but, paired with a phone and with properly designed apps it could be a walkie talkie, a fitness tester, a remote control,

The Dash does have some weaknesses.  It does not have noise cancelling abilities.  It’s battery life is only about three hours when playing music with the sensors enabled.  I am also not sure I would want to wear them while surfing without securing them with a leash (provided).  But, all things considered, the Dash is a technological marvel, weighing in at a mere 13 grams for each earpiece.

The Dash is being shown at the Consumer Electronics Show next week.  Preorders are now being taken on Bragi’s website for $299 with estimated availability in April with full support for IOS and Android.

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LUMO Lift – My First Wearable Device

By Mithun Baphana

Its safe to say that iPhone revolutionized the cellphone industry across the globe. After introduction of iPhone or smartphone, I have not seen any new hardware product which wowed me like the smartphone did until I started hearing about the wearable devices.

I believe the next big thing in consumer technology is going to be wearable tech. I started looking at Fitbit, Jawbone and many other fitness related wearable devices, but what caught my attention is LUMO Lift. Lumo Lift does everything what Fitbit or Jawbone 24 does but in addition it also helps me maintain good posture. For someone who is in front of the computer for more than 10 hours a day, maintaining good posture is extremely important. You can read about the risks of bad or poor posture on this website.

So, I pre-ordered my first ever wearable device, the LUMO Lift in May 2014 for US$79. The company promised to ship it before end of summer 2014. I was very excited about getting my first wearable device but skeptical on timing of the delivery. I generally don’t participate in pre-orders as very few companies are able to ship on time because of technical challenges involved in developing and manufacturing new hardware products.

I am happy to share that the company kept its promise and shipped the device on time for me. I just now have received my LUMO Lift and I am excited to try it out. Here is how it looks.

Lumo Lift Packaging_1

Lumo Lift Packaging_2

Lumo Lift Packaging_3

Lumo Lift Device

 

In the next blog, I will share how did I set up the device and write more about how the device works. Stay tuned !

Twitter: @mithunbafna

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